[1]张水清,杨凯筑,陈禹承,等.弹性职能训练费用与其成效率之最佳预测模式[J].武汉职业技术学院学报,2012,(03):9-14.
 ZHANG Shui-ching,YANG Kai-jhu,CHEN Yu-cheng,et al.Optimal PredictionModel of Employed Rate and Elastic Training Cost[J].Journal of Wuhan Polytechnic,2012,(03):9-14.
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弹性职能训练费用与其成效率之最佳预测模式()
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《武汉职业技术学院学报》[ISSN:1006-6977/CN:61-1281/TN]

卷:
期数:
2012年03期
页码:
9-14
栏目:
出版日期:
2012-05-01

文章信息/Info

Title:
Optimal PredictionModel of Employed Rate and Elastic Training Cost
文章编号:
1671-931X (2012) 03-0009-06
作者:
张水清1杨凯筑2陈禹承3李皇庆4廖欣琪4廖羽萱5
1.侨光科技大学资管系,台湾台中40721;2.台中科技学院资管系,台湾台中40721; 3.勤益科技大学资管系,台湾台中40721;4.亚洲科技大学资管系,台湾台中40721; 5.华夏技术学院,台湾新北235)
Author(s):
ZHANG Shui-ching1 YANG Kai-jhu2 CHEN Yu-cheng3 LI Huang-ching4 LIAO Hsi-chi4 LIAO Yu-hsuan5
1.Dept.of Information Management, Overseas Chinese University, Taichung40721, China; 2. Dept.of Information Management, National Taichung Institute of Technology, Taichung40721, China; 3. Dept.of Information Management, National Chin-Yi University of Tech
关键词:
失业率逻辑斯回归模式马可夫链
Keywords:
unemployment rate Logistic Regression Model Markov Chain
分类号:
F249.2;F224
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
因应产业外移导致结构性的失业,失业者更需要投资职能训练增加其就业率。金融风暴的来临,失业率攀高,行政当局投资大量训练费用予职训主管机构提供训练课程,但是成效与否与投资成本之间确切关系必须有一准确计算公式,使失业者及行政当局能在有限投资成本下提高就业率,故本论文研究弹性职能训练费用与成效率之最佳预测模式。配合信息科技之到来,弹性职能训练费用与其成效率之计算公式,未来可输入在民间及行政当局与职训业者计算机应用程序中,作为控制成本找出最大的就业率。
Abstract:
Due to structural unemployment, the unemployed need to take more skills training to increase their em— ployment opportunity. The government has invested a large sum of training fund in the VTC to provide training courses, but an accurate formula is needed to estimate the ratio of cost and benefit of the investment. This paper sets out to work out an optimal prediction model maximizing employment rate under flexible training cost. In this study, we use logistic regression model to predict employment rate, and the training cost is an important independent variable. We also con— sider the training period as another control variable. It is expected that the prediction model will be used by the author— ity and civil organizations to work out ways to maximize employment rate under flexible training costs.

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期:2011-11-21 作者简介:张水清(1963-),男,汉族,博士,侨光科技大学资管系,研究方向:管理,统计方法;杨凯筑(1988-),女,汉族,学士,台中科技大学 资管系,研究方向:管理;陈禹成(1989-),男,汉族,学士,勤益科技大学资管系,研究方向:管理;李皇庆(1990-),男,汉族,学士, 亚洲大学资管系,研究方向:管理;廖琪(1990-),女,汉族,学士,亚洲大学资管系,研究方向:管理;廖羽萱(1990-),女,汉族,学 士,华夏技术学院,研究方向:管理。
更新日期/Last Update: 2012-06-15