重庆市县域经济增长的空间效应研究——基于空间面板杜宾模型-《武汉职业技术学院学报》

文章信息/Info

Title:: Research on Spatial Effect of County Level Economic Growth in Chongqing——Based on the Spatial Durbin Model

Author(s):: YANG Jin-gang; Research Center of the Economy of the Upper Reaches of the Yangtze River, Chongqing Technology and Business University, Chongqing 400067, China

摘要:: 利用空间面板杜宾模型对2007年到2014年的重庆38区县的经济增长进行分析。研究结果表明：重庆市各区县间经济存在明显的空间正相关性，高高聚集、低低聚集现象显著；对经济增长的影响因素进行直接效应和间接效应分解发现产业结构、交通密度和政府规模具有正的空间溢出效应，人力资本有负的空间溢出效应，城镇化对经济增长的影响不显著。加快重庆城乡统筹区域一体化发展，需加大物质资本的投资，并增进重庆五大功能区间的经济互动。

Abstract:: In this paper, the economic growth of 38 districts and counties in Chongqing from 2007 to 2014 is analyzed by using the spatial Durbin model. The results show that the economy between districts and counties has a significant positive spatial correlation. Besides, high aggregation and low aggregation phenomenon is obvious. By analyzing direct effect and indirect effect of influence factors about economic growth, it is found that industrial structure, traffic density and the size of government have a positive spillover effect, while the human capital has a negative spillover effect, and urbanization has no significant effect on economic growth. Finally, some suggestions are put forward on the development of urban and rural integration in Chongqing.